Nikitas3.com said repeatedly throughout 2017 that president Trump will be re-elected to the White House in 2020.
Consider this fact: Just before Christmas 2017 the very reliable Rasmussen poll put Trump’s approval rating at 47% which was higher than virtually any other world leader at the time. Rasmussen also reported that Obama was 47% after almost one year in office in December 2009.
The difference is that the media have spent years trashing Trump and slobbering over Obama. 47% is a great figure considering the treatment that Trump has received. In other words Trump is much more popular than the media will ever admit just as the 2016 election showed that Trump was vastly more popular than the polls or the media would ever admit.
So when the media report that Trump will be a one-term president, or that he has lousy poll numbers, it is more of the same baloney.
Second, an incumbent president has a huge advantage in a re-election race. He has the “bully pulpit” of the White House. So Trump will be running the country and holding the spotlight in 2020 while the Democrat candidates are beating each other up in their primaries, like the Republicans did in 2012 as Obama was acting presidential.
Trump also is a master communicator and knows how to use Twitter very effectively.
Most importantly, as time goes on, more and more people are seeing the actual results of Trump policies rather than the negative media narrative about him.
Just think – millions of people had no idea during the 2016 race that Trump would restore the economy as quickly as he has, yet they still voted for him. Or that he would do many other positive things.
Now that they are seeing results, this is going to help him greatly, particularly among blacks and hispanics who are seeing more and more job opportunities in the improving Trump Economy. Many blacks already are saying, “We were doing terribly under Obama. Trump is OK with me…” They will quietly vote for Trump but may never admit it, even to pollsters.
Even on the issue of immigration there is good news for the president among blacks and hispanics. Look at this from Breitbart News:
A new poll shows the GOP is more trusted than Democrats to handle the hot-button immigration issue — and large percentages of Hispanic and African-American voters are backing President Donald Trump’s “Buy American, Hire American” immigration policy.
The respondents were asked” “Who do you trust more to handle the following issue?” The answer for immigration was 40 percent for Democrats, 41 percent for the GOP and a huge 20 percent for “Don’t know” or “No answer.” That is a large percentage of non-answers, and likely hides a block of pro-Trump supporters who fear to respond truthfully.
The poll of 1,997 registered voters was conducted by Morning Consult for Politico. The poll was taken January 20 to January 21, ensuring it includes some reaction to the Democrats’ decision to filibuster the 2018 budget to win amnesty for illegals.
The poll also shows that Democrats only scored 44 percent trust among Hispanic registered voters. In contrast, the GOP scored 37 percent trust – and the Hispanic ‘Don’t knows’ added up to 19 percent.
Among African-Americans, the Democrats scored 63 percent in the trust question — but the GOP scored 20 percent, and 17 percent were ‘Don’t knows.’ That score helps explain rising support for Trump among black voters. The score may rise as Democrats continued to turn their attention away from blacks towards immigrants.
In the 2016, Trump reportedly scored 8 percent among blacks and 28 percent among Hispanics.
These new Politico poll numbers are very encouraging for the president. If he already won the 2016 election with 8% and 28% among blacks/hispanics he is sure to win re-election when those numbers go up. And they will, both on immigration and on the economy.
Many black leaders including Martin Luther King are or were very concerned about mass immigration taking jobs from blacks. And they were correct to be concerned.
In 2020 the president also is going to get millions of votes from white conservatives who did not go out and vote for him in 2016 because they did not believe that he was a conservative. Now that they have seen him implement a more conservative agenda than Ronald Reagan did, millions of conservatives are going to “come home” in 2020 and vote Trump.
These conservatives could easily give the president higher margins in the states that he already won and could easily ‘flip’ electoral states to president Trump that voted for Hillary in 2016 like Colorado, New Mexico, Virginia, New Hampshire and Maine. This would give Trump a bigger win in 2020 than in 2016.
Nikitas3.com also believes that the Russia investigation of president Trump is going to collapse, and that that is going to give the president a huge boost in the polls. And that top Democrats and Deep State operatives are going to be implicated for their complicity in the War on Trump including the phony Russia probe, Russia dossier, Uranium One, etc. that is going to harm Democrats in the 2020 election.
Here are excerpts from an essay that Nikitas3.com posted on April 24, 2017 saying that president Trump would be re-elected. Virtually all of this remains true today:
Nikitas3.com believes that president Trump is on the way to a successful first term. Even at this early stage Nikitas3.com predicts that Trump will be re-elected in 2020. Here are 23 reasons that he will win:
*President Trump is taking on the big issues: He is seriously reforming the nation and this will be noted by voters. From creating new manufacturing jobs to reforming health care for our military veterans, president Trump will get a lot done in 4 years. He already is doing so.
*The economy is improving significantly: This is the most important issue to a majority of Americans. When they see big improvements by 2020 they will re-elect the president.
*President Trump knows how to campaign and connect directly with voters: His massive rallies in 2016 were unprecedented; 2020 will be even better. In 2020 he will avoid the campaign mistakes that he made in 2016.
*Trump won in 2016 even though he was vastly outspent: The official figures showed that Hillary spent $1.2 billion and Trump spent $600 million. But that does not account for the billions in free, fawning media coverage that Hillary got leading up to the election. The Democrat candidate in 2020 won’t have anywhere near as much of that free media, while Trump will have more money because…
*Campaign cash is surging already: The Hill website reported on April 21: “The Republican National Committee … announced it raised $41.5 million in the first three months of 2017, its strongest-ever total for the first quarter following a presidential race.” So president Trump is energizing the Republican party despite the fact that some Republicans are and were anti-Trumpers. When they come around in 2020, this will give the president an electoral boost.
*President Trump is genuinely patriotic and cares about America: This is going to help him greatly in 2020.
*The Obama agenda failed: Obama was elected in 2008 on account of his race but he failed as president, which is why Hillary lost. When voters see president Trump succeed, they will re-elect him.
*President Trump is very smart: He is not going to get into any wars or do something else stupid.
*President Trump does not waste too much of his energy criticizing Democrats like Democrats do to him every minute. He uses his energy primarily to promote a positive agenda for the country. This is a good thing and this is why he was elected. Hillary spent most of her campaign telling us why we should not vote for Trump and she lost. The Democrat candidate will make the same mistake in 2020.
*Democrats don’t have a leader: Even top Democrats are blaming Obama for the Trump victory. Hillary Clinton has fallen out of favor, and Bill too. US Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer has zero appeal beyond New York City. House minority leader Nancy Pelosi is a radical loon.
The Democrat party chairman is a foul-mouthed reactionary; the deputy chairman is an extremist muslim-American. Who is the Democrat leader? Joe Biden at age 74 today? That looks very bad for a party that has always claimed that it stands for youth and vitality.
*Democrats have no good 2020 presidential candidates: The top Democrat contenders for 2020 are people like US senator Elizabeth ‘Pocahontas’ Warren, who is a joke. New York governor Andrew Cuomo has presided over a declining state economy for 6 years already. California governor Jerry Brown is too old (he will be 82 in 2020), and California has a bad reputation among most Americans.
Hillary Clinton already has lost twice. Michelle Obama could never win because her husband was just repudiated. Caroline Kennedy has little experience in government.
Bernie Sanders is not even a Democrat. He is a registered Independent and would have to re-register as a Democrat if he runs. That would not look good. If Sanders runs as an Independent in 2020 to get back at the Democrats for 2016, then Trump will win an even bigger victory.
Facebook billionaire Mark Zuckerberg is too young and has no experience. Billionaire Mark Cuban is a screwball. Oprah Winfrey would lose in a landslide to Trump; she is just a shallow celebrity. Ditto other celebrity/billionaire hopefuls. Chelsea Clinton is a big nothing who is being puffed up by the media. Biden will be 78 years old.
*Leftist insanity is hurting Democrats: Leftists are sinking into absurdity, violence and insanity. Riots, media assaults on Trump, profane celebrities, endless protests and hysteria, physical attacks on Trump supporters and properties, etc. are off-putting to the majority of voters who want law and order and jobs and a secure border.
*Elected Democrats are overreacting in every possible way; they cannot calm down, like the unhinged black congresswoman Maxine Waters. This will harm Democrats in 2020. Americans don’t want emotion, theatrics and stridency. They want rationality and results and you can’t beat something with nothing. The angry and negative leftist approach does not win elections. Improved conditions do.
*As the sitting president, Trump will be free to campaign throughout 2020 from January until election day in November. On the other hand the Democrat candidate probably will not even be decided until primaries in May or June, or maybe even until the convention in mid-Summer.
*The Democrat primary campaign, and the convention, could turn hostile and divisive, giving president Trump a big advantage. He would be able to openly ridicule the warring Democrats, and he certainly will.
*Democrats are in chaos: There is huge discord after Hillary Clinton’s loss. This is going to continue and will harm Democrats in 2020. Their party is made up of factions that may break out into open warfare.
For starters, the Bernie Sanders supporters are going to cause big problems for the party after Bernie got screwed by the Democrat Establishment in 2016. Angry Democrats from one or another faction then may refuse to come out and vote like many conservatives would not vote for Romney or Trump.
*Trump will punch back hard in a re-election campaign. He will sharply criticize every opponent and point out their every weakness like he did with Hillary in 2016.
*The Silent Majority will vote Trump again: The Silent Majority that elected president Trump in 2016 – primarily hard working white people and white working-class voters – will come out again in 2020 and re-elect him.
*Nikitas3.com relies on a “gut feeling” for politics honed over 40 years of observing the American system. And my gut feeling is that president Trump is simply ‘a winner’. With a strong and mature Mike Pence at his side, the Trump Team will look like real leaders, particularly since Democrats will probably pick a bad candidate in 2020.
Here is a separate commentary on another subject:
Two Democrat US Senate Seats that Will Go Republican in 2018
Here is a quick word about the US Senate elections of 2018 in which Republicans are expected to pick up as many as 10 seats. These are two races as discussed by The Daily Caller:
Believe it or not, the 2018 election is only months away. And while talking heads and media elites focus exclusively on Republican election challenges, the electoral map is chock-full of vulnerable Democratic candidates running in Trump territory. Here are (two) top Democrats poised for 2018 defeat:
Sen. Claire McCaskill (Democrat, Missouri)
The definition of a corrupt career politician, Sen. McCaskill is a personification of the Washington swamp and the Democratic Party’s most vulnerable incumbent. Who can forget her failure to pay $287,000 in property taxes on a private plane? Or using $40 million in government subsidies to boost her husband’s real estate business?
Even her fellow Democrats have referred to Sen. McCaskill as “corrupt,” making her a boon to opposition researchers.
And it’s taken on a toll on her approval ratings in Missouri. Only 42 percent of Missourians approve of Sen. McCaskill, after she was first elected to the Senate with only 54 percent of the vote against a weakened (Republican) Todd Akin.
Her blind “resistance” against President Trump, who won Missouri by a whopping 18.5 percent (over 500,000 votes) in 2016, only makes matters worse.
One possible Republican to run against McCaskill is retired NASCAR superstar driver Carl Edwards who has obviously wide name recognition and is a smart, young (just 38), handsome, well-spoken and charming guy. He would take the seat in a landslide, predicts Nikitas3.com. Fox News reported in January 2017:
NASCAR champ Carl Edwards seems to be open to trading his driver’s seat for a spot in the U.S. Senate.
The 37-year-old didn’t exactly rule out challenging Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, a Democrat whose second term in office expires in 2018.
“I believe firmly in the principles that the U.S. was founded upon. If I could help, I definitely would consider it,” he texted to the Associated Press on Wednesday.
Edwards’ statement comes after Terry Smith, a political science professor at Columbia College, speculated in a Wednesday piece … that Edwards will challenge McCaskill next year.
The Daily Caller also reported about another endangered Democrat:
Sen. Bill Nelson (Democrat, Florida)
Poor Bill Nelson. Reelection was always going to be an uphill battle in a state that President Trump won by roughly 120,000 votes, and … (Republican) Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s likely entrance into the race only makes the hill steeper.
The Democratic establishment has reportedly been “concerned” about Sen. Nelson’s prospects from the start, and Scott’s favorability gives them every reason to be. Even though he hasn’t formally announced his candidacy, the Florida governor already leads Sen. Nelson in a head-to-head matchup.
The two couldn’t be more different. Whereas Sen. Nelson was the deciding vote for the Obamacare disaster and votes with President Trump even less often than Sen. McCaskill … Scott was one of the president’s most loyal supporters on the 2016 campaign trail. Two years ago, he praised President Trump for being “laser-focused on job creation.” Scott even chaired a pro-Trump super PAC, while Sen. Nelson voted against pro-worker tax cuts and long-overdue healthcare reform.
Furthermore, while Scott can self-fund his own campaign, Sen. Nelson will need to shake down special interests to compete in what will be the most expensive 2018 Senate race. Also working in Scott’s favor is President Trump’s firm endorsement of his 2018 Senate run. The president’s 4.6 million Florida supporters won’t forget it.
Rick Scott has a personal net worth of about $150 million. He is very popular since he has presided since January 2011 as governor over a huge economic boom in Florida even as much of the nation foundered under Obama.
President Trump’s longtime association with Scott and with Florida through his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach makes Rick Scott look like a shoo-in. Nelson is a former astronaut but looks worn out at 75 years old. Scott is just 65 and possibly a future presidential candidate.
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