(This is a commentary in an ongoing series about the upcoming elections in November.)
Gubernatorial election contests in 2018 are not getting much attention compared to the House and Senate, but Republicans today have great strength in governorships nationwide.
Currently the GOP holds 33 out of 50 governorships including liberal states like Maryland and Illinois and formerly liberal states like Michigan and Wisconsin.
That 33 could increase in November. The most unpopular governor in the US is Connecticut Democrat Dan Malloy. His liberal state has become an economic basket case under his rule.
This is likely to lead to the Republican candidate winning that seat in November. Already Republicans hold four governorships in liberal New England (Massachusetts, Maine, New Hampshire and even Vermont) where Connecticut is located.
Here are some observations of various governors’ races, and a few other races, coming up in November:
*In Kansas the Trump-backed secretary of state Kris Kobach defeated the sitting Establishment Republican governor in the August 7 primary. That is very difficult to do. Kobach now will in all likelihood win the general election in heavily ‘red’ Kansas in November. That is called The Power of Trump.
*On the other hand, in Minnesota, Republican former governor Tim Pawlenty was making a comeback bid for governor. He had served as a popular moderate governor for two terms (2003-2011) and ran for president in 2012. So you would think that he would be a shoo-in this time around.
Not so. And do you know why?
Because he had called Donald Trump “unhinged and unfit for the presidency” leading up to the 2016 election and thus was tarred as an Establishment Republican who also had been working as a Washington lobbyist.
Pro-Trump forces came out to defeat Pawlenty handily in the August 14 primary, which certainly came as a shock since Pawlenty was confident that he would win his primary easily with a 3 to 1 funding advantage, and statewide name recognition and popularity.
He was beaten in the primary by a conservative county commissioner named Jeff Johnson who ran for governor and lost in 2014. Wow.
Nikitas3.com predicts that Johnson will win the governorship in November as Minnesotans seek change from eight years under Democrat governor Mark Dayton (an alcoholic who famously fainted during a state-of-the-state speech in January 2017) and the groping scandal and resignation of Democrat US senator Al Franken.
Minnesota is seen as a “blue” state in presidential elections but Trump did very well there in 2016. It has a strong Republican party. In November it will also hold a “special” election to fill Franken’s seat.
Nikitas3.com predicts that Republican state senator Karin Housley will win that election over Franken’s appointed replacement Democrat Tina Smith. One factor favoring Housley – she is a bubbly, optimistic pro-Trump blond bombshell while Smith is a thin, haggard-looking former lieutenant governor with bags under her eyes.
There is also residual anger among Minnesotans over what was seen as fraud in Franken’s first election win in 2008 by just 312 votes out of 2.9 million cast.
*In another race in Minnesota, former congressman Keith Ellison, deputy chairman of the national Democrat party, recently won his party’s primary election for state attorney general. Ellison is a black and is a convert to islam. He won the primary despite last-minute charges that he had abused his girlfriend.
Minnesota voters did not buy the charges since they were never proven. But a second charge of abuse emerged at the last minute that is backed up by court documents. These charges should derail Ellison in the general election in November since there will be time to publicly expose one or both of them.
*In ultra-liberal Maryland the sitting Republican governor Larry Hogan holds a 16 point lead in his run for re-election over black Democrat Ben Jealous who is a former president of the NAACP. Wow again.
*In liberal Connecticut businessman and political newcomer Bob Stefanowski won the Republican primary for governor setting the stage for the November general election. Nikitas3.com predicts that Stefanowski will win since sitting Democrat governor Dan Malloy is so unpopular, as are the Democrat policies that he espoused.
Connecticut is home to tens of thousands of upper-income and wealthy people who commute to New York City every day to work. It also has many prestigious corporate headquarters like United Technologies, GTE, Xerox and Olin Corporation.
Democrats took these facts as a license to “tax the rich” heavily and to tax business to the hilt. This undermined the state financially under Malloy. General Electric moved its historic headquarters out of Connecticut in response to a big tax increase. This alone did enormous damage to Malloy’s reputation and to Democrat policies in general.
*In Wisconsin Democrats will make a third effort to unseat Republican governor Scott Walker who has revitalized the state since he was first elected in 2010. The labor unions and public-employee unions detest Walker for scaling back their power in order to control the state budget. They sought to recall Walker in a bitter campaign in 2012 which Walker won by a whopping 7 points. Walker was re-elected governor in 2014 by 5 points.
Walker ran for president in 2016 but dropped out early. His opponent for a third term as governor will be Democrat state education chief Tony Evers, whom Walker will point out is part of the state’s problem with his close ties to the public-employee unions.
Walker has a great record, is well known throughout Wisconsin and has a huge fundraising lead over Evers. Nikitas3.com picks Walker to win a third term easily. Wisconsinites were very discouraged about their state when Walker was first elected. He has made the tough reforms that always work whenever they are applied.
The international Taiwan-based electronics giant Foxconn is now building a massive manufacturing plant in Wisconsin which was the result of Walker and president Trump working together to attract the plant, which will employ 13,000 people when completed, and is employing thousands of workers to build it.
*In Massachusetts, where Nikitas3.com is headquartered, moderate Republican governor Charlie Baker is very popular, although we conservatives don’t like him very much. Nikitas3.com predicts that he will be re-elected easily in November.
Meanwhile in Massachusetts Nikitas3.com believes that far-left Democrat US senator Elizabeth ‘Pocahontas’ Warren has repeatedly put her own November re-election hopes in jeopardy including this from The National Review:
Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts has one-upped socialists Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: She proposes to nationalize every major business in the United States of America. If successful, it would constitute the largest seizure of private property in human history.
… Under Senator Warren’s proposal, no business with more than $1 billion in revenue would be permitted to legally operate without permission from the federal government. The federal government would then dictate to these businesses the composition of their boards, the details of internal corporate governance, compensation practices, personnel policies, and much more. Naturally, their political activities would be restricted, too. Senator Warren’s proposal entails the wholesale expropriation of private enterprise in the United States, and nothing less. It is unconstitutional, unethical, immoral, irresponsible, and — not to put too fine a point on it — utterly bonkers.
This comes after Pocahontas has said things like this: “The hard truth about our criminal justice system: It’s racist … front to back.”
Massachusetts is 36% registered Democrat and 64% independent and Republican. Many independents and even some Democrats are fairly conservative working class and middle class whites. Nikitas3.com believes that Warren’s Republican opponent – either John Kingston or Geoff Diehl – will be able to defeat Warren on her nutty ideas above, along with her open-borders, anti-ICE rhetoric.
Is Warren too liberal for even Massachusetts? Amazing, but it is possibly true.
*In Vermont a far-left male-to-female trannybagger has won the state’s Democrat primary to run for governor. Nikitas3.com predicts that sitting moderate Republican governor Phil Scott will win re-election to a second two-year term, that the novelty of a sex changer as a potential governor will wear off quickly.
Scott suffered significantly after he was targeted by protesters calling him a “liar” and “traitor” after he signed sweeping gun regulations into law. Scott’s approval rating in the state tanked after he signed the measure, plummeting from 65% to 47%.
*In liberal Oregon the presumed Republican candidate for governor Knute Buehler, a physician and Rhodes Scholar from rural Bend, recently was polling even or ahead of the state’s liberal sitting Democrat governor Kate Brown in two separate polls.
This could be a sign of voters’ fatigue with the Democrats in light of many factors including corruption; homeless chaos and left-wing violence in the state’s biggest city of Portland; state money being spent on health care for illegal immigrants; and radical ‘green’ laws that have throttled the state’s economy.
Brown took over from Democrat John Kitzhaber in 2015 after Kitzhaber resigned under state and federal investigation for corruption.
Nikitas3.com predicts that Buehler will pull an upset victory.
*In California Republican gubernatorial candidate and self-made businessman John Cox would appear to be a long shot, but that might not be so. Just look at the other liberal states that have elected Republican governors after years of frustration with Democrat leaders.
Cox will run against the Democrat former San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom. The firestorm of bad press that California is receiving over the last two years about the conditions in the state may finally induce voters to switch course from the California’s drift to the hard left under 8 years of governor Jerry Brown.
Rampant homelessness is plaguing the state. A huge gasoline tax increase has infuriated the public. The middle class is departing in droves. Spending on unionized state employees is out of control, as are taxes. Wildfires resulting from ‘green’ policies are raging across the state while a grossly over-budget ‘high speed passenger rail’ project was started but is likely to be abandoned.