Florida is a very important state. It is growing in political and electoral clout, and in its population and wealth. Therefore the November elections for Florida governor and for a US Senate seat are well worth watching.
Nikitas3.com predicts that Republican candidates will win both races.
In the governor’s race the mayor of the state capital of Tallahassee Andrew Gillum won the Democrat primary and will face off against three-term conservative Republican congressman Ron DeSantis.
Here is what the Fake News media will not tell you – that Gillum is an extremist who was endorsed by Bernie Sanders and is being financed by big-time Hollywood cash and left-wing donors like George Soros and Tom Steyer. Newsmax.com reported:
Billionaire and liberal financier George Soros made a second donation of $250,000 to Andrew Gillum’s PAC to support the Florida Democrat’s campaign for governor, The Washington Free Beacon reported.
The PAC belonging to Gillum, the mayor of Tallahassee, has received $700,000 from Soros since the beginning of the campaign cycle.
Gillum was also the beneficiary of a Hollywood fundraiser in March which actress Alyssa Milano and actor Alec Baldwin attended, the report said.
California billionaire Tom Steyer has also supported Gillum, adding $1 million in organizational and advertising support for Gillum, Politico reported Friday.
Nikitas3.com believes that this Follywood campaign is going to backfire on Gillum, that Floridians will not be fooled and that DeSantis will successfully use the Hollywood angle to slam Gillum as beholden to radical out-of-state interests. Breitbart News reports about Gillum:
Some of Hollywood’s most iconic figures and influential filmmakers are throwing their star power and support behind the campaign of scandal-ridden Florida gubernatorial Democrat candidate Andrew Gillum.
Gillum, mayor of Tallahassee, FL, has received support from producers Judd Apatow, Norman Lear, Will Packer, Shonda Rhimes, as well as actresses Regina Hall, Debra Messing, and Issa Rae.
In May, Norman Lear shared his support for Gillum’s gubernatorial run in a video posted to Twitter.
Gillum supports the entire militant agenda – Medicare for all, $15 minimum wage, sanctuary policies for illegals, strict gun control, open borders, legal marijuana, abolishing ICE and raising the Florida corporate tax by 40% – all just like Bernie Sanders would want.
DeSantis opposes all of this in order to keep Florida strong and keep the Florida economy humming.
DeSantis has a great record. He is just 39 years old. He is ex-Navy, Bronze Star in Iraq, Harvard Law School and Naval Justice School. DeSantis is a good friend of Trump’s and a strong supporter of Trump in the Congress. They have played golf together. In the primary race DeSantis went from way down in the polls to a surprisingly big win with Trump’s support.
Florida is a pretty conservative state, which favors DeSantis. It currently has a Republican governor, one Republican US senator, its state senate is 23-16 Republican majority, its state house of representatives is 75 Republican to 41 Democrat, while 16 out of 27 Florida US House seats are currently Republican.
Florida is very wealthy. Its state economy is $900 billion a year, about 80% the size of the economy of the entire nation of Mexico.
Nikitas3.com does not believe that Florida voters would risk their prosperity and stability by electing a radical like Gillum. Meanwhile Fox News reports:
Gillum is grappling with a controversy that could distract from this political war of ideas: the ongoing FBI investigation into possible corruption in Tallahassee, the city he has led since 2014.
Gillum has denied wrongdoing and said the FBI has told him he is not a focus of the investigation.
But Republicans, in the aftermath of Gillum’s primary win, are doing everything they can to draw attention to Gillum’s link to the probe and make sure it casts a shadow over his campaign.
This also will play strongly against Gillum.
Florida’s current Republican governor Rick Scott, who is term-limited out after two terms, is popular since Florida’s economy did very well under Scott, even when Obama was president. Since Trump’s election Florida is booming. Scott now is running for the US Senate in Florida.
Nikitas3.com picks DeSantis for governor in November by a comfortable margin. Nikitas3.com does not believe that Florida voters are going to “switch horses (political parties) in the middle of the stream”.
We can expect president Trump to make at least one and maybe two Autumn campaign appearance in Florida for DeSantis and for Scott.
Nikitas3.com also picks Rick Scott to win his US Senate race. This comes after analysis of the issues including the fact that Republican primary turnout on August 28 was 124,000 voters higher than the Democrat turnout.
This Republican “enthusiasm” is crucial after the media have been telling us for more than a year that Democrats are all fired up and that Republicans are apathetic after electing Trump. Baloney. Personal Trump appearances will energize Scott and DeSantis voters.
Scott is running against sitting Democrat US senator Bill Nelson, who once was an astronaut. Nelson has served in the US Senate since 2000. He has moved to the left with the Democrat party while Florida has become fairly conservative.
Scott is the can-do, activist governor while Nelson is a bland Democrat politician with no real accomplishments to speak of besides being famous as a senator. Nelson is 75 years old and looks very old and tired. This will work against him. He has held elective office in Florida for 46 years(!) Nikitas3.com believes that Florida voters will see Nelson as a figure whose time has passed.
Rush Limbaugh, who lives in Florida, says that Scott has some very effective ads running on TV. And Rush should know what works and what does not.
A website called Outside the Beltway reports about Scott versus Nelson:
Scott has wasted no time in mounting an aggressive campaign against the senior Florida senator, spending millions in the state’s notoriously expensive media markets to air attack ads.
Nelson has been far outspent by Scott, a wealthy health care executive, who has already dropped more than $20 million of his personal funds on his Senate bid.
So far, the Florida governor has dropped more than $27.7 million on the race.
Nelson, on the other hand, has spent just over $6 million, according to recent federal filings, leading to concerns he is being too complacent.
Both candidates have been dogged by unflattering headlines in recent weeks. Scott has faced questions about potential conflicts of interest arising from his investments, and accusations of favoring political donors for contracts and jobs.
For his part, Nelson has continued to face questions about a comment made to the Tampa Bay Times earlier this month suggesting that Russian hackers had penetrated voting systems throughout Florida.
To date, Nelson has provided no evidence for that claim and Scott’s campaign has demanded clarity on the remark.
Nikitas3.com believes that Floridians will pick Scott, who is 65 years old and has a known day-by-day track record over almost 8 years in office while Nelson has been pretty much a nondescript political “ghost” in faraway Washington.
This Senate race is very important since a Scott win would “flip” yet another US Senate seat from Democrat to Republican. Nikitas3.com predicts that up to 10 seats will “flip” in November.
Cuomo Out for 2020
When New York governor Andrew Cuomo said on August 15 that, “We’re not going to make America great again. It was never that great,” it was the political gaffe heard ‘round the world.
Nikitas3.com warned in a commentary that Cuomo injured himself very badly with that statement since he was considered a leading contender for the Democrat nomination for president in 2020 coming from a big state like New York. He was slammed from coast to coast for his comment.
In an August 29 primary debate, Cuomo may have revealed exactly how much damage he has done to himself. NY1 reports:
Cuomo had been considered a possible presidential contender in 2020, but he brushed off that speculation when asked by a moderator if he would pledge to serve four years if re-elected (as governor).
“Yes, yes, yes and yes,” he said in response.
“I’m running for governor, not president,” Cuomo said.
Cuomo added that the “only caveat is if God strikes me dead. Otherwise, I will serve four years as governor of the state of New York.”
Thus Cuomo cannot very well run in 2020 after making the initial gaffe and then making these strong follow-up statements. Trump would crush him on all counts and tag him not only as unpatriotic but as untrustworthy.
It gets worse for Cuomo. Look at this from Fox News:
Former Acting ICE Director Tom Homan had some strong words for Andrew Cuomo after the New York governor called ICE “a bunch of thugs.”
Cuomo made the remark during a Democratic primary debate with actress Cynthia Nixon at Hofstra University Wednesday night.
… When the topic of immigration came up, Cuomo defended his record of opposing President Donald Trump’s policies and took a shot at ICE.
“New York State is the state that is suing Donald Trump for ripping babies from the arms of their mothers, New York State is the state that says we will not cooperate with ICE, they’re a bunch of thugs,” Cuomo said. “We said we will sue them if they violate any criminal laws in the state of New York.”
This “thugs” attack on law enforcement may fly in New York City and Seattle but it will never sell across America in a general election for president. Nikitas3.com believes that Cuomo is now officially out for 2020, and for good. He has gone too far to the left and is too brazen about it. This could have been predicted from Cuomo’s arrogant style.
Cuomo’s stated withdrawal from 2020 also shows the Power of Trump. Cuomo knew that Trump would hammer him on his statements if he were the Democrat nominee, and certainly did not want to subject himself to Trump’s abuse and humiliation, and a potential big loss to Trump.