Conservative Confidence Grows as Elections Approach

First, here is a quick but important word about immigration from Reuters;

President Donald Trump on Thursday said he would to deploy the U.S. military and close the southern border if Mexico did not move to halt large groups of migrants headed for the United States from Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador.

“I must, in the strongest of terms, ask Mexico to stop this onslaught – and if unable to do so I will call up the U.S. Military and CLOSE OUR SOUTHERN BORDER!” Trump wrote on Twitter.

Trump is correct. has been suggesting this solution for years. We need our military to prevent an “invasion” of our country not only by illegal immigrants but by evil people and drug dealers.

Now here is today’s main commentary:

There are many indications that Republican/conservative candidates for the US House and Senate and for local and state offices are surging as election day approaches on November 6.

This is to be expected if you know how to read polls. Most polls traditionally show Democrats doing much better than they end up doing in the election. Virtually all 2016 polls showed Hillary Clinton winning in a landslide.

Now we have polls tightening all over the country in favor of Republicans and even ‘flipping’ from the Democrat to the Republican candidate.

Before discussing that, here is a major item from Bloomberg News which the Fake News media are ignoring:

Special Counsel Robert Mueller is expected to issue findings on core aspects of his Russia probe soon after the November midterm elections as he faces intensifying pressure to produce more indictments or shut down his investigation, according to two U.S. officials.

Note that it will be “soon after the November midterm elections”. This obviously means that Mueller has no evidence whatsoever against president Trump. Otherwise he would issue some sort of bombshell report before the election in order to harm Republicans.

It could be even worse. It could be that Mueller is about to wrap up his investigation with nothing on Trump, but that he does not want that news to come out before the election so as to help Trump and Republicans. Wow.

One indicator that Republicans are headed for a good election cycle was the Florida gubernatorial primaries in August when 124,000 more Republicans turned out to vote than Democrats.

This shows GOP ‘enthusiasm’. Meanwhile president Trump’s rallies also show major Republican “enthusiasm” which is always important to any political party, particularly in a non-presidential election when voter turnout is always lower.

Meanwhile NBC News recently posted an article called Uncertainty over a blue wave: NBC News finds Democrat and GOP voter registrations at same level as past election cycles

This shows once again that the ‘blue wave’ theory of a big Democrat win in the November elections is baloney. The NBC report says:

the percentage of registered Democrats and Republicans from 2016 to now is identical to registrations from November 2014 to November 2016.

In other words Democrats do not have the huge registration advantage that they have been touting. NBC continues:

In Indiana, where Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly is facing a re-election challenge from Republican businessman Mike Braun, a larger percentage of registration activity has come from Republicans (41 percent) than Democrats (33 percent). From 2014 to 2016, a larger percentage of registration activity came from Democrats (36 percent) than from Republicans (34 percent).

This is a “red state” election where has been predicting a Braun win and thus another Republican pickup in the US Senate, that Donnelly is far too liberal for Indiana. It gets worse for Democrats. Reuters reports:

Enthusiasm for the Democratic Party is waning among millennials as its candidates head into the crucial midterm congressional elections, according to the Reuters/Ipsos national opinion poll.

The online survey of more than 16,000 registered voters ages 18 to 34 shows their support for Democrats over Republicans for Congress slipped by about 9 percentage points over the past two years, to 46 percent overall. And they increasingly say the Republican Party is a better steward of the economy.

This is bad news for Democrats who traditionally rely on younger voters. Along with increased support for president Trump among black and hispanic voters this all looks good for GOP candidates. believes that the booming Trump economy, which is being ignored by the mainstream media, is having a major positive effect for Republicans in the mid-term elections even though president Trump is not on the ballot.

The Daily Caller reports about the US Senate race in Nevada:

Polling shows Republican Nevada Sen. Dean Heller is pulling ahead of his Democratic rival, Jacky Rosen, indicating a sharp turnaround for the incumbent Republican.

A new Emerson College Survey released Monday shows Heller with a commanding seven-point lead over Rosen, a liberal congresswoman vying for his seat, 48 percent to 41 percent. The poll of likely voters was conducted from Oct. 10 to 12, with a margin of error of 4.2 percent.

The Emerson survey comes nearly a week after an NBC/Marist poll showed Heller ahead of Rosen by only two percentage points. As recently as Oct. 1, a CNN survey found Rosen in the lead by 4 percentage points among likely voters. Heller has now taken the lead in the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls.

Heller is the one-term incumbent Republican US senator in a state that went for Hillary by just 2.4 points in 2016. He is considered the most vulnerable Republican senator up for re-election this year. Yet he too is surging. believes that this means that all seven Republicans US senators running for re-election will be re-elected, which is what has been predicting all along. Meanwhile an eighth Republican running for an open seat, ex-military fighter pilot Martha McSally in Arizona, appears to be pulling way ahead of her far-left opponent.

Heller’s spike in the polls is being attributed to the “Kavanaugh bounce” for Republicans after the fiasco by Democrats over the Supreme Court nominee. This “bounce” is reportedly helping all Republican candidates.

Meanwhile Obama is barely campaigning for Democrats compared with president Trump who is putting himself on the line for Republicans every day.

This means that Obama obviously is nervous about the election. He does not want to be associated with a big Democrat loss. If he expected a big Democrat victory he would be out in front of it, guaranteed.

This fact alone is certainly ringing alarm bells behind closed doors in the Democrat party in a mid-term election that Democrats should be expected to win easily. But times are different under Trump. Meanwhile the Washington Free Beacon reports:

One of Minnesota’s largest newspapers has endorsed a Republican congressional hopeful to fill the seat of the Democrat it supported in 2016.

The Duluth News Tribune has endorsed Republican St. Louis County commissioner Pete Stauber to succeed retiring Democrat Rick Nolan (D., Minn.) in the state’s Eighth Congressional District. The district’s largest newspaper praised Stauber, a veteran police officer, for his “unwavering devotion and commitment to us in Northeastern Minnesota.”

This is a regional story, but is good news and indicative of a bigger national story. It sounds like part of a Republican wave. predicts that Republicans will maintain majority control of the US House in the mid-term elections and will increase their presence in the US Senate from 51 seats today to as many as 57 seats to 61 seats.

At the same time Fox News reported:

Republican Bob Hugin is (going all out) against incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez in the final days of the closer-than-expected New Jersey Senate race, reviving salacious allegations that the senator had sex with underage prostitutes during past trips to the Dominican Republic.

Menendez has long denied the allegations as a smear since they first surfaced on a news site in 2012.

But Hugin, a wealthy pharmaceutical executive, is now running an explosive new television ad that cites papers filed in federal court by prosecutors in 2015 acknowledging the FBI probed the prostitution allegations as part of its corruption case against Menendez. has called this race for Hugin from the start. It now is “closer than expected”. This is no surprise. Menendez has been charged with corruption over and over (but never convicted) and believes that even liberal New Jersey has had enough of him.

If Hugin wins it would be a major upset – a pickup by a Republican of a US Senate seat from an incumbent Democrat in a liberal state. This was not supposed to happen. The Huffington Post reports about Democrat alarm over Menendez:

The Senate Democrats’ leading super PAC is set to spend $3 million in bright blue New Jersey in an effort to save Sen. Bob Menendez, who has struggled to put away a Republican challenger after facing a corruption trial last year.

… Hugin and his allies have swamped Democratic spending in the race by roughly a 7-to-1 margin, $21.8 million to $3.3 million, according to a source that tracks media buys.

In the hotly-contested US Senate race in Florida between two-term governor Rick Scott and incumbent US Senator Bill Nelson, even the Real Clear Politics poll average, which includes polls biased to Democrats, says that Nelson has only a 1.7 point lead. predicts that Scott will win by 3 to 5 points as the surge for Republicans accelerates.

In liberal Maryland the incumbent conservative Republican governor Larry Hogan appears on his way to an easy re-election. In liberal Massachusetts moderate Republican governor Charlie Baker also appears headed for re-election. In liberal Connecticut predicts that Republican Bob Stefanowski will win the governor’s race after eight years of a disastrous Democrat governorship which left the state budget in an economic shambles. In West Virginia, predicts that Republican US Senate candidate Patrick Morrissey will take the seat from incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin.

Here is an eye-popping story about a US House seat that Democrats were claiming would be ‘the easiest midterm pickup in the country’. This is from Fox News:

For the first time in almost three decades, Florida’s highly competitive 27th Congressional District seat, long held by Republican, Cuban-American Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, is up for grabs.

Now all eyes are on the close race that, just months ago, Democrats considered the easiest midterm pickup in the country, after Hillary Clinton won the district in 2016 by a 20-point margin over Donald Trump.

… Despite widespread name recognition in her first run for office, Donna Shalala, the Democratic candidate, is in a surprisingly tight race against her lesser-known GOP opponent, Spanish-language journalist and political rookie, Maria Elvira Salazar, because of the makeup of the district, which spans across Miami Beach, Coral Gables, Key Biscayne and Little Havana.

So there you go. PJ Media reports about a sitting Democrat US senator in North Dakota whom has been predicting will lose:

What in the world was Sen. Heidi Heitkamp’s campaign thinking? As part of an ad dinging her Republican re-election challenger, the North Dakota Democrat doxed a number of sexual abuse survivors. Conservative talk show host and blogger Rob Port has identified at least 13 women who were wrongly named by Heitkamp’s campaign. And they are not happy about it.

In an open letter to Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer, which also serves as a campaign ad, Heitkamp’s campaign published the names and hometowns of 127 women and identified them as “survivors of domestic violence, sexual assault, or rape.”

Good. Another one bites the dust. Meanwhile Fox News reports about an important state race in Minnesota:

Embattled Democrat Rep. Keith Ellison’s lead in the Minnesota Attorney General election appears to be vanishing amid allegations of domestic violence against his ex-girlfriend.

The congressman’s bid to become the top law enforcement official in the blue state was supposed to be an easy task for a popular Democrat who holds one of the top positions within the Democratic National Committee (DNC).

But Ellison’s lead has taken a dramatic cut since Karen Monahan came forward with her story in August detailing the physical and emotional abuse she suffered allegedly at the hands of Ellison.

Ellison needs to be soundly defeated. He is deputy chairman of the Democratic National Committee and so this race has national implications. There are two documented reports of Ellison abuse of his girlfriends which Democrats and their media friends are seeking to cover up or to simply deny despite solid evidence against Ellison, who is a black muslim.

Ellison’s bid is part of a wider Soros-funded strategy to pack our nation’s justice system with radicals who are soft on crime and muslim terrorism, as Ellison is.

Update: Ellison is sinking in the polls when he was initially expected to win easily. This may harm other Democrats in Minnesota, including for governor and US senator. Good.

Meanwhile look at this from National Review if you want to see how low the Democrats are going:

Democratic (US) senator Kamala Harris joked about killing President Trump and members of his administration in a Thursday appearance on The Ellen Degeneres Show.

“If you had to be stuck in an elevator with either President Trump, Mike Pence, or Jeff Sessions, who would it be?” DeGeneres asked Harris during a series of random, mostly cheery questions she read from cards.

Harris made a displeased face and asked Ellen, “Does one of us have to come out alive?”

She laughed loudly for a minute as the audience joined in with cheers and laughs. Even the show’s host joined in the mirth.

Conservatives took Harris to task over the comment, some asking what the reaction would have been if the men Harris joked about had made the same joke about her.

Obviously this was all scripted ahead of time with the show’s writers giving Harris the question and a prepared answer. This is how liberal programs work like CNN giving Hillary Clinton the questions in advance of a televised town hall meeting.

This Harris “joke” was yet another casual suggestion of violence against Republicans. But you should never believe that this is just an offhand joke. This was part of a carefully orchestrated propaganda campaign to incite hatred of and violence against Republicans and conservatives. And it is having an effect. Look at this from the Washington Free Beacon:

First-time (Republican) state representative candidate Shane Mekeland suffered a concussion after getting sucker punched while speaking with constituents at a restaurant in Benton County. Mekeland told the Free Beacon he has suffered memory loss—forgetting Rep. Anderson’s name at one point in the interview—and doctors tell him he will have a four-to-six week recovery time ahead of him. He said he was cold cocked while sitting at a high top table at a local eatery and hit his head on the floor.

“I was so overtaken by surprise and shock and if this is the new norm, this is not what I signed up for,” he said.

Benton County Sheriff Troy Heck told the Free Beacon that his department has interviewed the alleged assailant. Investigators are awaiting medical records about the extent of Mekeland’s injuries before referring the case to the local district attorney’s office. He expects those results to come in the next week.

Here is another example of Democrat violence from Fox News:

A Democratic operative for American Bridge 21st Century, a group founded by David Brock and funded by liberal billionaire George Soros, was arrested Tuesday after the female campaign manager for Nevada GOP gubernatorial nominee Adam Laxalt accused the operative of grabbing and yanking her arm and refusing to let go.

Fox News reports about Wilfred Stark:

Several staffers for Republican lawmakers on Capitol Hill told Fox News that Stark is notorious for aggressive behavior when dealing with members and their aides.

“He is widely known among members and staffers as being a real problem on Capitol Hill—not for asking tough questions, but because he’s so openly hostile and combative,” a GOP aide told Fox News. “It’s become a real security concern.”

These stories are cumulatively hurting Democrats voter by voter, you can be sure.

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