Talks in Vietnam between president Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un over the de-nuclearization of North Korea collapsed when Trump walked away. Fox News reported:
President Trump abruptly walked away from negotiations with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Vietnam and headed back to Washington on Thursday afternoon, saying the U.S. is unwilling to meet Kim’s demand of lifting all sanctions on the rogue regime without first securing its meaningful commitment to denuclearization.
Trump, speaking in Hanoi, Vietnam, told reporters he had asked Kim to do more regarding his intentions to denuclearize, and “he was unprepared to do that.”
“Sometimes you have to walk,” Trump said at a solo press conference following the summit.
Trump specifically said negotiations fell through after the North demanded a full removal of U.S.-led international sanctions in exchange for the shuttering of the North’s Yongbyon nuclear facility. Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told reporters that the United States wasn’t willing to make a deal without the North committing to giving up its secretive nuclear facilities outside Yongbyon, as well as its missile and warheads program.
President Trump went to Vietnam to deal honestly and in good faith with Kim for the good of Asia and of the world to get rid of North Korea’s nuclear weapons.
But Kim asked that the sanctions be lifted first and Trump said no. This shows that Trump is not out to please North Korea and to look like a compromiser in the global media but that he is serious about hard-headed diplomacy to end a very dangerous situation.
President Trump also knows that he holds the cards in this deal, that North Korea is very weak economically and that the sanctions must stay until North Korea gives in.
Liberals will claim that the collapse of the talks is a defeat for Trump but the opposite is true. Trump is sending a clear message to North Korea, that he will not engage in Fake Diplomacy that is done for show.
We all know how Fake Diplomacy has been conducted over the last 50 years. In general presidents have visited with foreign leaders or hosted them at the White House, taken photos showing cordial relations, done and/or said little or nothing substantial, and then claimed that everything is hunky dory in the world.
There was one major exception – conservative Republican president Ronald Reagan who laid the groundwork for the fall of Berlin Wall and for the collapse of Soviet communism itself by skipping the niceties and getting very tough with the dictators in Moscow. It worked like a charm.
Perhaps the worst example of Fake Diplomacy was in 2000 when Bill Clinton’s secretary of state Madeleine Albright went to North Korea to meet with dictator Kim Jong Il (Kim Jong Un’s father). Albright acted like a blushing schoolgirl visiting a pop star. It was shameful.
This followed on the “deal” that Clinton announced six years previous. History.com reported:
President Bill Clinton took the podium on October 18, 1994, with a speech that reads like a sigh of relief—the announcement of a landmark nuclear agreement between the United States and North Korea.
“This agreement is good for the United States, good for our allies, and good for the safety of the entire world,” he assured the nation. Called the Agreed Framework, it was designed to put the brakes on North Korea’s nuclear program, and it promised to put an end to years of increasing nuclear tension, including a near war, to a halt.
“This agreement represents the first step on the road to a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula,” Clinton said. “It does not rely on trust.” In exchange for North Korea ending its nuclear weapons program, the United States agreed to normalize relations with the nation—and both agreed to pursue “formal assurances” not to use nukes against one another.
The agreement—forged against all odds in an environment of fear and worry—seemed bulletproof. So why did it fail just a few years later? The reasons why are rooted in behind-the-scenes negotiations and international mistrust.
No, that deal failed because North Korea knew that Clinton was a weak, immature president eager to engage in do-nothing Fake Diplomacy and so they played him like a cheap violin.
President Trump will have nothing to do with this charade. Through tough bargaining tactics sprinkled with smart negotiation, he may be on the road to getting dictator Kim Jong Un to finally de-nuclearize North Korea and join the family of free nations. But that is halted for now.
And just because these talks failed that does not mean that the negotiations are over. Trump knows from his dealings in the business world that you fight for what you believe in, and that Kim will have time to think about this failure and to make adjustments.
Nikitas3.com predicts that Kim will eventually make concessions but that the next meeting will be held on American soil. After all, president Trump has traveled twice already to Asia to meet with Kim, showing diplomatic eagerness to accommodate him.
Already Kim has started down a path of reconciliation further than North Korea has ever gone before. After Trump initially threatened to “totally destroy North Korea” if it did not act responsibly, Kim got the message that Trump should be taken seriously.
Rumor has it that Kim agents opened up talks with various people in Washington as to whether Trump might actually be crazy enough to follow through with his threat, that Kim was afraid of Trump.
Good. After all the US military absolutely has the power to “totally destroy” North Korea in a matter of hours.
But Trump’s threat was classic Trump deal-making – he starts with an extreme position and works backward. Obviously this opening gambit got Kim into thinking seriously about dealing with Trump, and the two leaders apparently had developed a good relationship.
Kim was certainly quite flattered that president Trump, who is the most famous and powerful person in the world today, took the time to fly twice to Asia to meet with him.
And we all know that flattery is a powerful weapon and that Kim sees an opportunity to take the spotlight on the global stage. At the same time Trump is using his powers of persuasion to convince Kim that he can make history by reforming his nation and freeing his people.
Kim already has stopped missile testing, returned US hostages being held in North Korea, returned remains of soldiers killed in the Korean War (1950-53), opened unprecedented dialogue with South Korea and then held a second meeting with president Trump.
None of this would have happened if president Trump had not started the dialogue with an extremist gambit to “totally destroy” North Korea. And by walking away from the recent talks, he is simply making another powerful move in the chess game of negotiations.
In short president Trump is one of the most masterful foreign policy presidents of all time… after Ronald Reagan that is. Trump learned in the world of business how to negotiate, where all the rules are different.
He also has followed the dictum of Teddy Roosevelt to “speak softly and carry a big stick”. Roosevelt described his style of foreign policy as “the exercise of intelligent forethought and of decisive action sufficiently far in advance of any likely crisis.”
This is possibly the next step in the process of de-nuclearizing North Korea and democratizing it.
Kim knows from meeting with Trump that Trump is bigger than life, that Trump is a successful man and the focus of the global media. Kim knows that he too can bring economic success and modernity to his backward nation and that Trump is offering him the grounds to do so. He sees Trump’s vision in capitalist South Korea which is thriving while the North is starving.
You can be sure that Kim is secretly jealous of South Korea and of Trump’s success. It is only human nature to be dazzled by material success. Trump knows this. And Trump is playing on this basic human emotion as part of his overall strategy of dealing with Kim.
Indeed Trump’s foreign policy is unlike any other president’s since Trump is unlike any other president. He comes from the world of business where things get done or you go out of business. In politics, on the other hand, you can go on for decades acting like everything is wonderful but not accomplishing a damned thing. Just ask Bill Clinton and Madeleine Albright about that.
Hispanics, Blacks, Women are Shifting to Trump
Let’s face it – elections are cyclical. For instance Republicans win gubernatorial races after Democrats screw up their states, as Republican governors were elected in Ohio, Wisconsin and Michigan in 2010 after Democrat governors had caused economic chaos.
Or a Republican like Ronald Reagan was elected president after Democrat Jimmy Carter ruined the national economy. Or Trump won the presidency after Obama wrecked the economy.
Along the same lines, the party that wins the presidency traditionally loses US Senate and House seats in the first mid-term election afterward, i.e., Republicans would be expected to lose House and Senate seats in the 2018 elections after Republican Trump won the White House in 2016.
In the first mid-term elections after Democrat Bill Clinton, Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Obama entered the White House their respective parties showed a combined net loss of 20 crucial US Senate seats.
Yet in the mid-term election of 2018 Republicans, led by president Trump, saw a net gain of two seats in the Senate.
This was a shocking outcome to the Fake News media and Democrats and it was a direct result of Trump campaigning vigorously for Republican candidates.
In 2018 Republicans did lose majority control of the US House but that was largely due to the fact that a whopping 45 Republican House members retired from office going into 2018, leaving those seats open and essentially handing the House to Democrats.
It also was a result of Democrats brazenly cheating to win. In one US House race in Maine won by the Democrat under totally corrupt circumstances, the fraud was so brazen that the Republican governor Paul LePage certified the election as he was required to do but hand-wrote “stolen election” on the certification document.
Now we have evidence that one key voting demographic – suburban women voters – is coming back to support the president after defections in 2018. The Washington Examiner reports about a Zogby poll, which is a poll known for accuracy:
Suburban women, after fleeing Republicans in the 2018 midterm congressional elections, are coming back to President Trump.
The reason: many want his border wall.
A remarkable new Zogby Analytics poll found that suburban women… support the wall and Trump’s emergency declaration that will allow him to spend more to build it than Congress has OK’d.
The numbers: 45 percent of suburban women want the president to find other sources of money to build the border wall, versus 40 percent who don’t. And 50 percent back his emergency declaration.
OK, so first of all, “suburban women” used to be largely Republican and independent voters but today it includes increasing numbers of liberal women.
Second, 50% of women backing the emergency declaration is a great number for Trump since the declaration is the most critical and controversial issue regarding The Wall. Third, this poll comes after “women” have been propagandized every day for almost four years that Trump hates women.
Pollster Jonathan Zogby said, “As the 2020 presidential election inches closer, Trump will look to strengthen his support among his base and appeal to swing voter blocs, such as, suburban women. The ‘border wall’ or ‘border fence’ will be a key issue he can utilize to help his re-election chances, especially as his Democratic opponents move further to the left regarding immigration policies.”
So there you go. As Democrats move toward officially supporting open borders – as they are clearly doing so – that leaves more voters, including crucial numbers of Democrats and independents, trending Republican on the critical issue of immigration. Nikitas3.com personally encountered one such Democrat recently. The Examiner added that Zogby’s latest survey found that
Trump’s approval has continued to edge higher, and he’s picking up support from other groups … including Hispanics, African Americans and independents
Fascinating, and this goes not only to the issue of the economy but also to immigration. Because many US blacks, hispanics and independents strongly oppose illegal immigration since illegals are taking jobs and undercutting wages.
So after the economy and immigration helped to catapult Trump to the White House in 2016 Nikitas3.com predicts that immigration is even stronger in voters’ minds today since the economic crisis is being addressed by Trump policies. Thus Nikitas3.com believes that immigration will help Trump to win re-election in 2020. Zogby polling analysis shows that…
The president’s numbers steadily gained among Independents … and voters without college degrees … two groups that helped him win the 2016 presidential election. Another interesting area where President Trump gained ground was with Hispanics (40 percent approve/57 percent disapprove) and African Americans (24 percent approve/70 percent disapprove).
40% for hispanics and 24% for blacks are great numbers for Trump. Those numbers are usually around 30% and 8%. These new numbers are the kinds that win elections for Republicans.
Here are more numbers for the president as reported about the Zogby poll in The Washington Examiner.
The president’s job approval also recovered among his base. He continued to have support among Republicans (81 percent approve/17 percent disapprove), NASCAR fans (56 percent approve/41 percent disapprove)… he is doing very well with suburban women (50 percent approve/50 percent disapprove), who are vital to his re-election hopes in 2020.
Then let us remember that the 2020 election is 20 months away and that Trump’s numbers are probably going to improve markedly as election day approaches and as voters start to think seriously about the race.
This is a common phenomenon for a sitting president and Nikitas3.com believes that increasing numbers of Americans are becoming comfortable with Trump at the helm with his commanding, confident style.
Meanwhile if Democrats nominate a radical left-wing candidate like Bernie Sanders who recently came out against all private health insurance plans and who once praised bread lines under communism, then the election will be no contest.
It is also important to remember that Republicans tend to do poorly in rigged polls but then do well in elections. We certainly remember 2016 when Hillary Clinton was given a 92% chance of beating Trump but that he ended up winning 57% of the electoral votes. Here are two other examples:
*In the Spring and Summer of 1980 Republican presidential challenger Ronald Reagan was reported to be as much as 25 points behind incumbent Democrat president Jimmy Carter. But in the November 1980 election Reagan went on to win 44 states and 91% of the electoral votes.
*In Summer 1988 Republican candidate and sitting vice president George HW Bush was reported to be far behind Democrat challenger Michael Dukakis. The New York Times reported on July 26, 1988 about a Gallup poll:
Fifty-five percent of the 948 registered voters interviewed in the poll said they preferred to see Mr. Dukakis win the 1988 Presidential election, while 38 percent said they preferred to see Mr. Bush win.
That sure sounds hopeless for Bush, but then Bush won the election in November 1988 with 40 electoral states, and 79% of the Electoral College votes.
Remember the Nikitas3.com Golden Rule: Ignore most polls. They are rigged against Republicans and conservatives.
Here is more. The Politico website, which is liberal, reports about hispanics in 2020:
… new polls suggest … that Democrats should be genuinely worried that Hispanic voters could help re-elect Trump and keep the U.S. Senate in Republican control.
The Pew Research Center… estimates that 32 million Hispanics will be eligible to vote—a full two million more than black eligible voters, and more than 13 percent of the electorate. Hispanics figure to comprise at least 11 percent of the national vote, as they did in 2016 and 2018.
Many expected Hispanics to vote overwhelmingly against Trump in 2016. A Latino Decisions poll just before the election found Trump with support of just 18 percent of Hispanics. But the actual figure was 28 percent…
So let’s repeat the Golden Rule: Most polls are biased to the Democrats and should be ignored. Politico continued:
… Now, here’s the brutal truth for Democrats: If Hispanic Americans are in fact showing surging approval of Trump, he could be on his way to matching or exceeding the 40 percent won by George W. Bush in his 2004 re-election. If Trump does 12 percentage points better than his 2016 numbers with the growing Hispanic vote, it pretty much takes Florida, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina off the table for Democrats, who would then need to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to reach the necessary 270 electoral college votes. At the same time, that 12-point shift would give Trump a clear shot at winning Colorado and Nevada, states where Hispanic voters make up well over 10 percent of the electorate, and where Clinton won by five percentage points or less in 2016.
And if the Democratic path to the presidency looks hard without overwhelming Hispanic support, control of the Senate looks almost impossible. Any realistic scenario to gaining the necessary three seats—four if Trump retains the presidency—requires Democrats to defeat incumbents Cory Gardner in Colorado and Martha McSally in Arizona. Both have higher than average Hispanic electorates. Gardner won his seat in 2014 by evenly splitting the Hispanic vote. McSally, who was just appointed to succeed John McCain, narrowly lost her 2018 race to Kyrsten Sinema by winning just 30 percent of Hispanics. Any improvement among Hispanics for Republicans—or even just a lack of enthusiasm for turning out to vote against Trump—could easily return Gardner and McSally to the Senate, and leave Democrats in the minority.