Some ‘Blue’ States Will Go ‘Red’ in 2016

Republicans and conservatives across America face a quandary: Their power is growing. The US House of Representatives is expected to remain in GOP hands for at least the next decade, maybe two decades. The US Senate is now Republican-controlled, while 31 states now have Republican governors and 23 states have Republican governors and Republican control of both houses of the state legislature (or the single house in Nebraska). Almost all of the successful economic states in the US are Republican-dominated, with millions of younger, educated and skilled Americans moving into those states. This bodes very well for the future of conservatism. Yet there seems to be a cloud of skepticism about a Republican winning the White House in 2016. Why?

Answer: Because of the electoral college vote count, that’s why. States like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Illinois and others have often or consistently voted for a Democrat president. They seem to be out of reach for the GOP even though they now have many conservative/Republican political leaders, including governors. It is an interesting paradox but then again voters often “split” their votes between parties.

Will these states start trending Republican in presidential elections? says: Yes, some of these states will flip from ‘blue’ to ‘red’ starting in 2016, enough to put a conservative/Republican in the White House. It’s not as big a hurdle as some think. Here’s why:

As mentioned above Republicans are on a roll politically which you would never know from watching the left-wing media that have propped up Obama. But underneath the media radar there is a real grass-roots conservative revolution going on and it often takes time for such a movement to percolate up the political chain, for instance to presidential elections. At the same time these media hounds are doing everything in their power to censor and ignore conservative/GOP successes.

Consider what is happening in three important electoral states that often or always vote Democrat for president. The states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio now have conservative Republican governors (Walker, Snyder and Kasich respectively) who were elected in 2010 and easily re-elected in 2014. These states’ economic woes, like the collapse of Michigan at the hands of the labor unions; the contracting industrial economy of a Rust Belt state like Ohio; and the debts and rising taxes in Wisconsin, were taking a great toll which was significantly exacerbated by the nationwide economic crisis of 2008.

These Republican governors instituted major reforms such that these states are vastly better off today than they were when these Republicans were first elected in 2010, each taking over from a Democrat who had left behind major economic problems.

In short conservative and capitalist reform policies have worked well in these states in just four short years because they always work. Thus voters in these states now can see the clear difference between the parties. believes that these gubernatorial success stories are going to seep upward to the presidential level in 2016.

Who would have thought back in 2008 that these states would even have these governors, that these governors would have succeeded so well, and that the voters would be happy enough to re-elect them. Governor John Kasich in Ohio won re-election in 2014 with a whopping 68% of the vote. Yet Obama won Ohio in both 2008 and 2012.

Few would have predicted Kasich’s success. So why can’t we predict a shift in the Ohio electoral votes for president too? thinks that we can. Because independent voters are trending strongly Republican all across the nation and in key electoral states like Ohio. That is the crucial metric of this 2016 calculation.

Now look at what else happened in 2014: The deeply ‘blue’ states of Massachusetts, Maryland and Illinois all elected Republican governors while a Republican almost was elected governor of ultra-blue Vermont. Because the people in these states, including many independents but also even some liberals, finally see that Democrat policies have failed. Even some prominent Democrats in Massachusetts supported the candidacy of the new Republican governor Charlie Baker. And by the way the Democrat party is secretly terrified about the rise of conservatives and Republicans across the nation, although they will never admit it in public.

Yet many pundits are still skeptical that any of these ‘blue’ states would vote for a Republican presidential candidate in 2016. But these grass-roots changes take time to take hold, but once they take hold believes that they will be long-lasting, which will strongly benefit the conservative agenda long term.

Now consider that conservatives and Republicans dominate the US House delegations and even the state legislatures in states that Obama won twice electorally like Florida, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin. Popular Republican governors in those states also can help to flip those states to the GOP in the 2016 White House race under the new paradigm.

Then it is important to remember that the shift would not have to be a huge number of votes in each state to make them ‘red’, just a few percentage points. And if all conservatives will go out and support the Republican in 2016 no matter who he/she is, we will be on the road to getting the White House back. Unfortunately many conservatives stayed home on Romney, contributing to his defeat.

This electoral shift also will be aided by the fact that Hillary Clinton is a terrible campaigner – she already has made three major gaffes and the campaign is still a year-and-a-half away – and because Republicans are emboldened and will go after her unlike Romney who was far too nice to Obama.

Likely White House candidates like Scott Walker in Wisconsin are unabashedly touting Republican economic successes and his own successes and questioning Hillary’s record and Obama’s record while in previous decades there did not appear to be much difference between the two parties because the overall economy was so strong. But now that the economy is tough tens of millions of Americans can see the distinction clearly, including crucial voters in key states. has often touted Ohio governor Kasich as a 2016 candidate. He would make an excellent president of the United States. But if he does not run recommends Kasich as a vice presidential candidate, to aid in getting Ohio into the GOP/conservative column electorally in 2016. And then recommends a significant role for Kasich, not as a do-nothing VP like Joe Biden but to head up an economic task force to implement nationwide the policies that helped Ohio to rebound.

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