An eager crowd of Republicans and conservatives is champing at the bit to run for president in 2016 including Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and on and on. They are showing genuine enthusiasm. Others will join in, rest assured.
And we wonder: Is this just 2008 and 2012 all over again, when a bunch of Republicans will run and lose?
The answer is a resounding No! The difference this time is based on the political cycle in which the two parties bounce back and forth in leadership based on circumstances in the country and a candidate’s own personal fortunes. For instance, by 2008 incumbent Republican president George W. Bush had been savaged by the Leftist Media for two full terms. The Iraq war was very unpopular. Then in September the economy crashed. All in all, cyclical events converged to produce a modest victory for Obama.
On top of that, Obama is (half) black and so Americans were ready to give a (half) black leader a chance, while 2008 Republican candidate John McCain often seemed as if he did not really even want to be president. In 2012 nice-guy Mitt Romney simply ran a lame/tame campaign. He could have won if he had been more aggressive.
Meanwhile Obama promised in 2012 that his policies were going to work, and to just to give him another term. Well, they have not worked and today the presidential cycle looks prepared to shift again back to Republican. Here’s why:
Millions of Americans now regret their vote for Obama. They gave him his chance and they now understand that we need substance over style, and are looking at the 2016 election differently than any election in the last 70 years of the postwar period. They understand that we have serious economic problems that are not going away and that Obama can no longer blame everyone else for the terrible economy.
The whole idea that a Republican can never again get elected to the White House is simply another fiction from the media. Because we have seen big shifts before. In 1994 Democrats had held majority rule in the US House of Representatives for 39 years straight, but lost it. On the other hand Republicans today hold a huge majority in the House that is not expected to dissipate soon, possibly for decades, according to political analysts.
There’s more. In the 2014 midterm elections the media mantra was that Republicans would be lucky to get 51 seats in the US Senate but they coasted to 54. Other trends show Republicans on a huge political roll. They posted historical electoral routs in the 2010 and 2014 midterm elections; GOP governors control 31 out of 50 states, and 24 states where Republicans control the governorship and both houses of the state legislature (for Democrats that number is only 5); all of the successful economic states are Republican dominated; successful economic reforms are being instituted by Republican governors in traditionally liberal states like Michigan and Wisconsin; in 2014 even Massachusetts elected a Republican governor, and Vermont almost did so; while Obama’s economic failure is pointing to change for 2016. To add insult to injury for Democrats, Washingtopost.com reported after the election this past November:
Republican gains extended to state legislative chambers as well. Before Election Day, the GOP controlled 59 of 98 partisan legislative chambers across the country. … preliminary results (from election day) showed Republicans had won control of both the Nevada Assembly and Senate, the Colorado and Maine Senates and state House chambers in Minnesota, New Mexico, West Virginia and New Hampshire. That would give the (Republican) party control of 67 chambers, five more than their previous record in the modern era, set after special elections in 2011 and 2012. (end of Washingtonpost.com excerpt)
In addition Hillary Clinton is a weak candidate. Hillary is a plodding speaker who just keeps saying dumb things like “Don’t let anybody tell you that it’s corporations and businesses that create jobs” or that she and her husband are not “truly well off” with a $100+ million fortune.
Many Democrats are terrified of Hillary’s candidacy and of her propensity to put her foot in her mouth, yet the Democrat bench is otherwise empty. No Democrat has a proven track record of achievement like so many Republican governors do with good economies in their states as a direct result of their leadership.
At the same time traditionally liberal states with Democrat governors like New York, California and Vermont are suffering. Intel, the “grandfather” of the Silicon Valley computer revolution, is moving many of its operations out of California because of the state’s anti-business attitude, with every statewide office held by a Democrat. Under Democrat Andrew Cuomo, New York state is fading fast. Even Obama’s home state of Illinois elected a tough, reform-minded Republican governor in 2014, Bruce Rauner, to try and reverse the state’s sagging economic fortunes.
Hillary Clinton has no economic track record, either. Oh, sure, she was secretary of state, but she spent 4 years spouting platitudes and never showing any great or original leadership. Meanwhile the 2016 election will focus on the domestic economy anyway.
The issue for Republican candidates in 2016 will also be one of so-called “fire in the belly”, which means a real eagerness for the White House. Today at least 10 Republicans are excitedly and aggressively running or possibly planning to run with the promise and background experience to reform the economy and bring prosperity back. In short, they see that the nation desperately needs big changes and they see themselves as potentially able to attain a Reagan-like status in American political history, which is profoundly seductive. There also is an issue of voter enthusiasm. Republican voters are very likely to be fired up about electing a GOP president in 2016, as they were about the 2014 midterms. Now let’s look at thumbnail sketches of some of the GOP candidates for 2016:
*Scott Walker, sitting governor of Wisconsin, first elected in 2010, re-elected in 2014. He has been a major reformer. A Wisconsin chamber of commerce survey showed only 10% of Wisconsin business owners were optimistic about the future when Walker took office, but that that number now is 96%. Walker took on the greedy public-employee unions and won big. He would be a great president. Walker is a favorite of conservatives, including Nikitas3.com. He is a dedicated Christian.
*John Ellis “Jeb” Bush, two-term Florida governor. Solid guy. Establishment Republican, was popular as governor. He’s too liberal for many conservatives but actually has a pretty conservative record on a lot of issues. Has Big Bucks Establishment Republican money sewn up. A favorite to win the nomination, he would very likely win Florida in the general election, which would go a long way to winning the White House.
*Rick Perry, longest serving governor in American history in Texas (2000-2014), the most successful economic state in America today. Very well qualified to be president. He could bring the Texas Miracle to the whole country, and some genuine Southern and Western flair too. A fake legal case brought by Democrats against Perry over one of his actions as governor will be exposed as a fraud.
*Governor John Kasich of Ohio, first elected in 2010, another major economic reformer who took a floundering Rust Belt state and turned it around. Kasich inherited an $8 billion deficit from his Democrat predecessor and turned it into a surplus without raising taxes. The Ohio economy is doing surprisingly well under Kasich. Although he could be a great president, Nikitas3.com also believes that a Bush-Kasich ticket would get both Florida and Ohio for the GOP in 2016, helping to give the White House back to the Republicans. Then Kasich could be an activist vice president, heading up a task force to do for America what he did for Ohio.
*Ted Cruz, a bona fide Texas conservative, but with no track record in economics. He was elected to the US Senate in 2012. He would definitely be a great president. Excellent speaker, unafraid of anybody or anything. He could debate Hillary Clinton under a table.
*Governor Rick Snyder of Michigan, first elected in 2010, has made major reforms to Michigan and brought prosperity back after decades in which Michigan was failing badly. Snyder is a former computer executive. He made union-heavy Michigan into a “right to work” state. He was re-elected in 2014. He’s a dark horse right now, but a real leader. Someday Snyder could be president, no problem. Watch this guy.
*Marco Rubio, a handsome ‘trophy’ candidate, a Republican Hispanic who can be seen as attractive in getting hispanic votes for the GOP. Unfortunately Rubio has no economic track record as a US senator from Florida.
*Chris Christie, the blunt, reform-minded New Jersey governor who is not afraid of controversy, or of the media. This would be a good thing for a US president. Christie is a tiger.
*Carly Fiorina, a former Hewlett-Packard CEO. Nikitas3.com would love to support her as an example of a private-sector success, but her tenure at HP was not all that great. She was forced out of her post for a poor performance. But she still appears to be preparing to run in 2016. She ran for US Senate in California in 2010.
*Rand Paul, US senator from Kentucky, a libertarian-conservative. That libertarian part presents problems for many Republicans and conservatives.
*Nikki Haley, governor of South Carolina, first elected in November 2010, re-elected in November 2014. Good manager, good conservative. Attractive woman, but not highly visible, and has not seemed overly interested in running for president.
*Bobby Jindal, the governor of Louisiana, who is of Indian ancestry. Good, honest leader, effective governor. Nice guy.
There are others, including figures outside politics like Donald Trump and Fred Smith, the founder of FedEx, whom Nikitas3.com likes very much. Meanwhile 2016 is not 2008 or 2012. Americans are looking for real leadership and Nikitas3.com believes that they will get it.
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