Thoughts About the 2016 Presidential Race

The Republican party is deeply divided. Conservatives and Establishment Republicans are at odds like never before, and heading into 2016 this is going to pose another big challenge.

The GOP has both a conservative wing and a moderate wing, covering a big swath of the American electorate, while the Democrats are all way over on the hard left. But then the Democrats’ media friends ignore the variety of opinions on the GOP/conservative side that in fact easily represents the American majority.

Nikitas3.com is pragmatically conservative. I believe that we simply must get a Republican president in 2016 whomever that may be, that the nation is out of control under the Democrats. Whether that Republican is Donald Trump or Ben Carson or Ted Cruz or even Jeb Bush, I will vote for him because we must get a Republican elected even if he or she is not conservative enough. Because the alternative is too destructive.

It is estimated by some political analysts that if conservatives had turned out in 2012 for Mitt Romney that he very well might have been elected president. Instead millions of conservatives stayed home. One big reason is that many conservative Christians strongly opposed Romney’s Mormonism.

Thus instead we got four more years of pro-Muslim, atheist Obama and a nuclear deal with Iran and an embassy in God-less Cuba and open borders and a withering economy.

So even if we get Jeb Bush in the White House in 2017 (his real name is John Ellis Bush (JEB)) we would at the very least get decency and competence back in Washington, with the agency chiefs and cabinet appointees selected from a cadre of good and patriotic people. How about former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani for secretary of defense? How about Ted Cruz for attorney general or for the Supreme Court? How about former Texas governor Rick Perry for Treasury secretary? How about governor Chris Christie of New Jersey to run the Environmental Protection Agency?

Ohio governor John Kasich would be a great vice president who could act as an economic ‘czar’ to do for the whole country what he has done in revitalizing Ohio. Imagine a vice president Kasich meeting week after week with business and political leaders all over and urging them to cooperate and focus on policies for growth, as he did in Ohio. And then Kasich would be in line for the presidency down the road, as would the other appointees.

(Note from Nikitas: Hello, readers, Please consider contributing to this website through the “support this website” link at the upper right. I have spent an estimated 5,000 hours over 8 years building this site and have received only a total of $30 in contributions. Otherwise I have never earned a single penny from this site but have spent many thousands of dollars of my own money on it. Anything would be appreciated, even $5. Thanks, Nikitas. Commentary continues here…)

Nikitas3.com here wants to play a political game – that conservatives and Republicans rally behind one single candidate now and skip the primaries. I know that this is not legally possible but let’s consider it hypothetically.

First, look at the 2012 primaries, which were damaging for Republicans. At the time I wrote an editorial urging that Republicans skip the primaries and rally around Mitt Romney out of pragmatism. I had expected, as most pundits had, that Romney was going to be the nominee anyway and suggested that we all set aside our differences and unite behind him in order to get rid of Obama. And by the way Romney has many conservative ideas.

The 2012 Republican primaries produced exactly what I had predicted – disharmony and infighting that set Romney back going into the general election. Who could forget Newt Gingrich’s implosion or the character assassination of Herman Cain (remember the wacky Sharon Bialek)? This disorder seems to be bubbling up again this year and simply gives the Democrats and the Leftist Media yet another point of attack on the GOP.

Now we have 17 candidates running on the Republican side for the nomination. This is a record number and it demonstrates something profound – that a whole slew of people, all of whom are infinitely better qualified to be president than Obama or Hillary or Biden, are champing at the bit to take back the presidency in 2016. This is a good sign and Nikitas3.com believes that it is going to happen.

The problem is: Who would we rally around? Would we pick Donald Trump? I like him, he is currently leading in many polls, but he is a lightning rod and would give the Democrats and media a target to attack. Then again Trump has the panache to go on the offensive and win the White House by going over the heads of the media and appealing directly to the people. How about Rick Perry? I think he would be a great center-right candidate who would energize both conservatives and Establishment Republicans, having managed a very successful Texas economy for 14 years as governor. Kentucky US senator Rand Paul would put a libertarian slant on the race. Scott Walker is one of the best candidates around who has done great things as governor in saving Wisconsin’s economy by taking on the unions. He also is a Christian conservative, and Nikitas3.com once called him The New Ronald Reagan. Ted Cruz is just plain awesome. Meanwhile Jeb Bush has stumbled and lost his luster but he still has great power as the anointed choice of the GOP Establishment.

But the problem remains: Who would we rally around? Can we wait 9 months or one year to settle on the nominee? Because we know that one of these candidates is going to be the nominee. So why not eliminate the infighting and skip the primaries and focus on the likely nominee, and the one most likely to win the White House.

It is just a thought, improbable as it may be. And Nikitas3.com believes that Jeb Bush still is likely to win the nomination and that he does have many conservative traits. Foxnews.com reports:

Florida International University political scientist Dario Moreno said… “Jeb’s record (as Florida governor) was as very much a tax cutter and as a fiscal conservative. He got rid of Florida corporate tax and he reduced Florida intangible tax, which is a tax on investment.” The record bears that out. Bush cut $19.3 billion in taxes over eight years, while growing the state’s reserves to $9 billion — up from $1 billion when he took office. That, in a state with no state income tax. …Bush, in a 2012 interview, explained his refusal to take (Grover Norquist’s) pledge (not to raise taxes). “I don’t believe you outsource your principles and convictions to people,” Bush said. … Bush’s credentials as a social conservative while serving as Florida’s governor were impeccable. Bush is pro-life and was on record supporting Terry Schiavo’s right-to-life case. …Bush also strongly supports Second Amendment rights, as well as Florida’s controversial “Stand Your Ground” law. And he defends traditional marriage. (end of Foxnews.com excerpt)

So there you go. Bush is not nearly as bad as many conservatives say while a Republican Congress in Washington, particularly the House, could block any non-conservative legislation that Bush might embrace.

The big problem is that Bush is allied with the Republican Establishment, which alienates many on our side. Meanwhile Nikitas3.com believes that Trump could be the nominee, but that he probably won’t be. This conclusion comes after observing decades of political give and take.

Now for the sake of debate let’s imagine that Bush gets the nomination. A great vice presidential running mate for Bush would be governor Kasich of Ohio, a very popular Republican who is conservative, who revitalized that state’s lagging economy in less than 4 years. Kasich was first elected in 2010 and then re-elected in 2014 with a whopping 68% of the vote, and that was in a state referred to as a presidential ‘swing state’. Nikitas3.com has often suggested Kasich for president but unfortunately he is way back in the field in his announced presidential bid.

A Bush/Kasich ticket would almost certainly win the electoral votes in Florida – since Bush was a popular governor there – and in Ohio – where Kasich is very well liked – and win the White House since these two states are considered crucial to winning the presidency (Obama won both Florida and Ohio in 2008 and 2012).

A Bush/Kasich White House then would give conservatives a strong voice in the administration through the conservative side of Bush; through vice president Kasich; and through many conservative appointees for the Supreme Court, federal agencies, federal judges and cabinet that I believe that Bush would make, as his brother did. In short if a Bush presidency were a sure thing, or the closest to it, then Nikitas3.com would take Bush out of simple pragmatism. And I believe that it looks very possible with Kasich at his side.

This is all speculation, a political game to think about as we approach 2016. Nikitas3.com will be presenting other scenarios as time passes. Let us all pray that we do not toss another election to the Democrats.

This entry was posted in Current Events (More than 1,500 previous editorials!) and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.